As I posted on another thread, I don't think the two doctors quoted in Charms article are up to speed. There was a large public health meeting held last week, and Gillison and others brought the data up to date, which was widely then reported in the other media around the country, as I posted above. The two stories that I posted above from CBS and NPR are ones that seldom get the story wrong though it hit lots of media.
The article coming out from Gillison next month in NEJM will actually detail all the data both from a retrospective point of view looking at the rapid increase over the last 30 years, and looking into the future for the next ten. This is really going to increase rapidly in incidence. There really ins't anything we can do to stop it from happening. As an advocate for the disease that reality is particularly disturbing.
People have suspected this had already happened for some time as individual treatment centers looking at their local patient populations were already reporting incidence rates of 60%
HPV and more. But the problem was there was no national consensus up till just recently. Hopkins and James say more than 60% of new patients, MDACC says more than 70% and so on. So for it to be 51% is very believable. Not every cancer center in the US is collecting data, and worse they do not all use the same test to determine if the cancers is
HPV+, which has caused other problems in the data, mostly artifacts of
HPV 18, 33, 35, which are certainly not players in this, but actually assay type errors in very small numbers. If someone is interested, I can talk about this more, but it really doesn't change this thread, and that is the virus is king in OC now.