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#126124 12-12-2010 05:41 PM
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SO i've looked on the main website- can't find anything solid. What are my chances of recurrence given the SCC was detected very early and there was nothing in nodes etc?


Monica,33 Mum of 3. Former smoker
SCC right lateral tongue. Intially thought to be cell dysplasia and dx as SCC after surgical excision.
Nov 2010- partial glossectomy (1cm in width), partial neck dissection. Margins clear, nothing found in nodes- YAY! Benign tumor on saliva gland.
monicacc #126131 12-12-2010 07:44 PM
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Im not sure if there is such a thing listed about someone's chance of getting a recurrence. My first round was Stage 1, no nodes and yet it came back again as Stage 1 with no nodes involved. My third time I had oral cancer I was Stage IV without nodes involved. Stats are not something I personally pay much attention to as I probably am living on borrowed time. Best thing to do is to move on and enjoy your life without being afraid of a recurrence. If you would have one, then that is the time to deal with it. I understand your fear and believe me, nobody fears it more than me. After 5 years, your chances of a recurrence go way down, sorry but I dont know specific numbers.


Christine
SCC 6/15/07 L chk & by L molar both Stag I, age44
2x cispltn-35 IMRT end 9/27/07
-65 lbs in 2 mo, no caregvr
Clear PET 1/08
4/4/08 recur L chk Stag I
surg 4/16/08 clr marg
215 HBO dives
3/09 teeth out, trismus
7/2/09 recur, Stg IV
8/24/09 trach, ND, mandiblctmy
3wks medicly inducd coma
2 mo xtended hospital stay, ICU & burn unit
PICC line IV antibx 8 mo
10/4/10, 2/14/11 reconst surg
OC 3x in 3 years
very happy to be alive smile
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Stats are unreliable. My first time was stage 1, no nodes. My second time was only three months after clear PET and it was stage 2, with one node involved. This time have not got a definite, have no idea what it will be.


Angelia
31 at Dx.
DX: 4/30/09, 10/21/09 SCC on floor of mouth,
T1NOMO, T2N1M0
TX: 39 IMRT, 8 cisplatin 11/30/09
PET/CT: 11/03/09: Lymph node involvement
PEG/PORT: 11/09
TX end: 02/01/10
PET Scan: 04/05/10 clear
PEG Out: 06/21/10
Biopsy: 12/23/10: fibrosis
HBO: 01/04/11 - ORN
Baby girl born 11-30-12
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Posts: 4,912
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The reason this is not in the site is there are no good studies that look at this. There are many confounding factors to every individuals disease. Staging for one, cause for another. Add collateral health issues and that really muddies the water. Age changes everything.

You get the idea, and I could have made this list longer. The fact is that there are no statistics that I would put up on the OCF site that are truly accurate given the uniqueness of each persons disease and personal biology.


Brian, stage 4 oral cancer survivor. OCF Founder and Director. The first responsibility of a leader is to define reality. The last is to say thank you. In between, the leader is a servant.
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The only stats that I have seen (and are probably dated now with the changing etiology of OC due to HPV) are:

1. IF - you have a recurrence there is an 80% chance it will occur within the first year after Tx. First year recurrences are very dangerous. Take your followups and aftercare seriously. This is also why year one and two are milestone years

2. That number drops to 15% in year 2, post Tx.

3. After year 2 there is a 5% chance of local recurrence.

As far as locoregional and/or distant metastesis I do not know.

Don't freak out at every little sore throat, post nasal drip, ear infection, (or even bad initial scan reports) etc. (or focusing on stats) or you will drive yourself totally nuts - ask me how I know this ;-)


Gary Allsebrook
***********************************
Dx 11/22/02, SCC, 6 x 3 cm Polypoid tumor, rt tonsil, Stage III/IVA, T3N0M0 G1/2
Tx 1/28/03 - 3/19/03, Cisplatin ct x2, IMRT, bilateral, with boost, x35(69.96Gy)
________________________________________________________
"You are a mist that appears for a little while and then vanishes" (James 4:14 NIV)
Gary #126787 12-26-2010 03:09 AM
Joined: Nov 2010
Posts: 49
"OCF Down Under"
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Thanks Garry smile
My ENT doc reckons my chances of reccurence are pretty low (5%) I don't know what he's basing that on but I like that stat a lot wink


Monica,33 Mum of 3. Former smoker
SCC right lateral tongue. Intially thought to be cell dysplasia and dx as SCC after surgical excision.
Nov 2010- partial glossectomy (1cm in width), partial neck dissection. Margins clear, nothing found in nodes- YAY! Benign tumor on saliva gland.

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